GOOGLE December free trade closed

We shorted GOOGLE 250 puts  back on November 14, 2008 .

http://indexoptionstrading.alliancemtg.com/how-to-buy-google-cheap-trade/

Today taking advantage of time decay and stock movement- closed the trade.  Google is up today at 314 and we can let these puts expire worthless, but we are not taking any chances, should the market reverse.

 BUY BACK  DEC GOOG 250 PUTS @ 1.65 =   $ 825 .00

NET PROFIT    $3350-$850         =  $ 2525.00

 

ORIGINAL TRADE SELL 5 DEC GOOG 250 PUTS @ 6.70 = $3,350 Net credit to the accounts

Delta -6.7 Theta = $ 60.53 /day

Probability = 84%

Index options trading- how to survive the worst

Index options trading. Well this week’s employment report was no comfort for that. US Non Farm payrolls lost 533,000 jobs in a single month. If you divide that by 30 days we are losing jobs at the rate of 17, 500 jobs per day, and its getting worse.This is the worst job loss reported in 34 years, according to Labor Department statistics. As per Market watch ” It was only the fourth time in the past 58 years that payrolls had fallen by more than 500,000 in a month. Since the recession began 11 months ago, a total of 1.9 million jobs have been lost. Job losses in September and October were revised much lower.”

“This is almost indescribably terrible,” wrote Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics. “The pace of job losses is accelerating alarmingly.” Over the past three months, 1.26 million jobs have been lost, a pace of job destruction exceeded only once since 1945.
This shoved the unemployment rate from 6.5% to 6.7% in a ugly pattern that is not ending anytime soon. This seems to be getting worse than better, and there is no adult out there who is managing this economic crisis with some dedicated enthusiasm. There is almost a power vacuum in the White House, with a lame duck President sitting out his last days in a horrific glory, while a newly elected President is completely powerless and sidelined. The country seems to be rocking back and forth, sliding deeper and deeper into a recession.
Meanwhile the auto makers are back in Washington with a hat in hand, begging for a tax payer’s bailout in the tune of $34 billion. At least some people don’t know, that Chrysler Corp and GMAC are owned by the Wall Street Hedge fund Cerebus. Its almost like bailing out a Hedge fund, rather than an auto maker, and taking money from the poor, distributing to the rich, a formula that we have seen played out over and over again.
Despite all the bad news on Friday- Stock market rose in the last hour of trading to 249 points as if to defy all odds. There was no good reason for this rally, its merely a bear trap set up to pummel longs in the coming next week. You alway think, this will continue on, but sadly enough, we have been climbing these trees of promises for a whole year. Sharp mind bending rallies, and almost immediate nasty sell offs, that takes us lower than the previous lows, and the charts keep getting destroyed with every new low.
We have posted some Intraday trades for subscribers in the membership area. These trades require quick stealthy ability to enter and take $1 or $2 profits and come out. I have been trading $SKF $SRS $ SDS and $SMN and some ultra short ETFS.

When the market broke down after Friday’s unemployment report, we posted short trades on $INFY $CHK $ and $ENER in the member’s subscriber area. These trades are for the active traders and with margin accounts above $25,000.

There is a lull in the income type trades that we always like, due to the volatility and higher VIX which makes Iron condor trading, Index spread options trading, and Index options trading, much more riskier. By avoiding these Index option trades, we have managed to preserve our trading capitals intact, and will live to trade another day. Many Option advisory services are still cranking out trades and losing big time each month. There is no excuse for such stupidity, not knowing your markets, and putting your followers through needless risks.

Stock Market 2008-diving off a cliff

With My system you can make money from the stock market during recession-no matter how bad the Economy gets-Click her and read more

The market has seen nothing but down days since Obama was elected President on November 5, 2008, until Friday when it made a near 500 point rally to the upside. The market internals have been nothing but ugly. Twice the DOW came and touched 8000 and finally it broke through and plunged to the levels not seen since 2002. That means all those investor’s, pension funds, savings and monies are wiped clean and done with or have taken huge hits.This is an unprecedented market action not seen in number of years.

Announcement of Tim Geithner as the Treasury Secretary, however sent the market 500 up in a knee jerk rally. Quite frankly it could have been Mickey Mouse named as Secretary of Treasury and the market would have done the same to rally from deeply over sold conditions. Days and days of selling created those conditions and it may bounce higher for few days.

What we have seen in the past 2 months will again be true. Bears feed off these rallies, buyers go in there and get trapped and killed. What I have seen, the market can’t even piece a few days of back to back upside action, let alone rally higher to new grounds. There is no catalyst out there if you looked for one. The economy is under the weight of myriads of problems, like Auto Makers bailout and others. Banks and financial stocks being hit with problems. Citibank announcing lay offs, and JP Morgan Chase following the same.

 

We may see few days of bounces and sharp rallies and if history is any guide, the market will eventually sell off again. The broad consensus is that we may see 6000 levels before we see 8000. But who knows where that bottom is? Every prediction has its own flaws and cannot be taken as an absolute truth.

 

Therefore what can you do to make money? One of the best positions is to stay in cash. Yes that is a position. You don’t have to trade everyday if you can help it. As a result, all our newsletter subscribers have not lost a SINGLE PENNY since September 2008. Compare this to other newsletter services who kept rolling off trades month after month, and and ended up taking huge losses that cannot be recouped for 2 years.

 

The other things I have done is micro trading ultra short ETFS like $SKF, $SRS, $SDS, $SMN, $TWM, $ EEV $ FAZ and numbers of others. But these are “Speculative Trades” meaning they carry a higher amount of risk and bigger rewards and cannot be done unless you have nerves of steel. I myself have not taken many chances since the movements in $SKF, SRS are 30 to 40 points each way and the volatility ranges 100 to 150%. When the market drops you go long place a stop loss order and hope for the best. When the market rallies, you sell short and place your stops and quickly scalp profits. You have to be quick on the draw to make it. Cannot hold overnight as the markets often gap up or down. This is what most experienced traders and hedge funds and others I have seen are doing these days. That seems to be the only viable game on Wall Street. 

 (Photo courtsey Getty)

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